tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:50 ORD → 18:28 DFW
    AA 2754 · American · 2h 36m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:22 DFW → 20:11 LAS
    AA 1771 · American · 2h 49m · 59% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 21mORD 15:50 to LAS 20:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.