tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Norfolk via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:50 ORD → 18:28 DFW
    AA 2754 · American · 2h 36m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:34 DFW → 23:38 ORF
    AA 2587 · American · 3h 04m · 49% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 48mORD 15:50 to ORF 23:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.