tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Atlanta via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:50 ORD → 18:28 DFW
    AA 2754 · American · 2h 36m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:26 DFW → 22:36 ATL
    AA 3212 · American · 2h 09m · 56% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 45mORD 15:50 to ATL 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.