Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 63%

  1. 23:42 LAX → 07:57 PHL
    AA 2758 · American · 5h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:44 PHL → 10:18 BUF +1 day
    AA 5925 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 33m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 35mLAX 23:42 to BUF 10:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.