tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:02 ILM → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2760 · American · 1h 08m · 95% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:50 CLT → 13:50 LGA
    DL 5051 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 48mILM 07:02 to LGA 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.