tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 14:28 MIA → 16:50 DFW
    AA 2762 · American · 3h 22m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:43 DFW → 22:30 JFK
    AA 1203 · American · 3h 51m · 46% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip8h 06mMIA 14:28 to JFK 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.