tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Wichita via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 PHX → 12:51 ORD
    AA 2765 · American · 3h 51m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:34 ORD → 17:46 ICT
    AA 3471 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 12m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 46mPHX 07:00 to ICT 17:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.