tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 07:00 PHX → 12:51 ORD
    AA 2765 · American · 3h 51m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 ORD → 19:53 RDU
    AA 4503 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 09m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 53mPHX 07:00 to RDU 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.