tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 25%

  1. 18:30 DFW → 19:45 LAX
    AA 2766 · American · 3h 15m · 56% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 LAX → 22:06 SFO
    AA 6260 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 41mDFW 18:30 to SFO 22:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.