tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Hartford via Washington: arrives on time 20%

  1. 19:03 TPA → 21:29 DCA
    AA 2773 · American · 2h 26m · 55% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 DCA → 23:59 BDL
    AA 5028 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 27m · 45% on time, 17.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (17.7% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip4h 56mTPA 19:03 to BDL 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.