tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Phoenix via Tampa: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:57 CLT → 17:41 TPA
    AA 2777 · American · 1h 44m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:31 TPA → 19:54 PHX
    AA 2329 · American · 4h 23m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 57mCLT 15:57 to PHX 19:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.