tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chicago via Tampa: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:57 CLT → 17:41 TPA
    AA 2777 · American · 1h 44m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 TPA → 21:00 ORD
    AA 2768 · American · 3h 31m · 63% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 04mCLT 15:57 to ORD 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.