tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Philadelphia via Tampa: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:00 MIA → 08:08 TPA
    AA 2778 · American · 1h 08m · 92% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:48 TPA → 13:26 PHL
    AA 2807 · American · 2h 39m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 27mMIA 07:00 to PHL 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.