tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → New York via Tampa: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 MIA → 08:08 TPA
    AA 2778 · American · 1h 08m · 92% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:08 TPA → 13:59 JFK
    DL 2042 · Delta · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 59mMIA 07:00 to JFK 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.