tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → New York via Tampa: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:00 MIA → 08:08 TPA
    AA 2778 · American · 1h 08m · 92% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:07 TPA → 13:53 LGA
    DL 2531 · Delta · 2h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 53mMIA 07:00 to LGA 13:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.