tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Washington via Tampa: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:00 MIA → 08:08 TPA
    AA 2778 · American · 1h 08m · 92% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:45 TPA → 12:05 DCA
    WN 4016 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 05mMIA 07:00 to DCA 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.