tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Nashville via Tampa: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:06 MIA → 09:14 TPA
    AA 2781 · American · 1h 08m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 TPA → 12:56 BNA
    AA 3825 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 50mMIA 08:06 to BNA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.