tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Buffalo via Boston: arrives on time 86%

  1. 08:27 PHL → 09:56 BOS
    AA 2783 · American · 1h 29m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 BOS → 15:44 BUF
    AA 4440 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 17mPHL 08:27 to BUF 15:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.