tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New Orleans via Charlotte: arrives on time 84%

  1. 21:35 SEA → 05:41 CLT
    AA 2793 · American · 5h 06m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:37 CLT → 08:38 MSY +1 day
    AA 2180 · American · 2h 01m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 03mSEA 21:35 to MSY 08:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.