tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 87%

  1. 21:35 SEA → 05:41 CLT
    AA 2793 · American · 5h 06m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:38 CLT → 09:22 TPA +1 day
    AA 3320 · American · 1h 44m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 47mSEA 21:35 to TPA 09:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.