tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Austin via Tampa: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 PHL → 09:56 TPA
    AA 2807 · American · 2h 47m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:44 TPA → 14:24 AUS
    DL 487 · Delta · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 24mPHL 07:00 to AUS 14:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.