tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Raleigh/Durham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:28 BNA → 09:39 PHL
    AA 2809 · American · 2h 11m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 PHL → 12:25 RDU
    AA 2403 · American · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 57mBNA 06:28 to RDU 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.