tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hebron via Philadelphia: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:28 BNA → 09:39 PHL
    AA 2809 · American · 2h 11m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHL → 12:45 CVG
    AA 5514 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 05m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 17mBNA 06:28 to CVG 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.