tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Philadelphia: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:28 BNA → 09:39 PHL
    AA 2809 · American · 2h 11m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:12 PHL → 14:35 RIC
    AA 5843 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 07mBNA 06:28 to RIC 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.