tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Knoxville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:28 BNA → 09:39 PHL
    AA 2809 · American · 2h 11m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:57 PHL → 13:10 TYS
    AA 5951 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 13m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 42mBNA 06:28 to TYS 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.