tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Phoenix via San Francisco: arrives on time 22%

  1. 16:17 DFW → 17:59 SFO
    AA 2810 · American · 3h 42m · 43% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 SFO → 21:00 PHX
    AA 2544 · American · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 43mDFW 16:17 to PHX 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.