tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Los Angeles via New York: arrives on time 52%

  1. 11:45 CLT → 13:47 JFK
    AA 2812 · American · 2h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 JFK → 17:48 LAX
    AA 255 · American · 6h 08m · 81% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 03mCLT 11:45 to LAX 17:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.