tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 11:45 CLT → 13:47 JFK
    AA 2812 · American · 2h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 JFK → 16:34 CLE
    AA 4389 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 59m · 83% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 49mCLT 11:45 to CLE 16:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.