tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Philadelphia via Tampa: arrives on time 18%

  1. 13:32 DFW → 17:04 TPA
    AA 2813 · American · 2h 32m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 TPA → 20:40 PHL
    AA 2900 · American · 2h 44m · 49% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 08mDFW 13:32 to PHL 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.