tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:56 TPA → 19:50 DFW
    AA 2813 · American · 2h 54m · 38% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 DFW → 21:47 LAS
    AA 1797 · American · 2h 51m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 49mTPA 17:56 to LAS 21:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.