tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 62%

  1. 11:33 TPA → 13:17 DFW
    AA 2814 · American · 2h 44m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:33 DFW → 15:48 IAH
    AA 3583 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 15m · 71% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 15mTPA 11:33 to IAH 15:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.