tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Norfolk via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:38 CLT → 18:37 DFW
    AA 2815 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:34 DFW → 23:38 ORF
    AA 2587 · American · 3h 04m · 49% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip7h 00mCLT 16:38 to ORF 23:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.