tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:38 CLT → 18:37 DFW
    AA 2815 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DFW → 22:33 SMF
    AA 3314 · American · 3h 34m · 59% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip8h 55mCLT 16:38 to SMF 22:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.