tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Santa Ana via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 59%

  1. 16:38 CLT → 18:37 DFW
    AA 2815 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:16 DFW → 22:24 SNA
    AA 348 · American · 3h 08m · 74% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 46mCLT 16:38 to SNA 22:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.