tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Columbia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 16:38 CLT → 18:37 DFW
    AA 2815 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:34 CAE
    AA 4064 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 56mCLT 16:38 to CAE 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.