tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Asheville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:38 CLT → 18:37 DFW
    AA 2815 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 DFW → 22:56 AVL
    AA 4260 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 26m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 18mCLT 16:38 to AVL 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.