Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Chicago via Jacksonville: arrives on time 30%
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14:59 DCA → 17:08 JAXAA 2816 · American · 2h 09m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Jacksonville (JAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:58 JAX → 19:59 ORDAA 3317 · American · 3h 01m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 00mDCA 14:59 to ORD 19:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.