tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Omaha via Phoenix: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:45 PHL → 11:49 PHX
    AA 2820 · American · 5h 04m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 PHX → 17:42 OMA
    AA 2227 · American · 2h 37m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 57mPHL 09:45 to OMA 17:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.