tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 05:01 BNA → 07:12 DFW
    AA 2821 · American · 2h 11m · 89% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DFW → 09:48 HOU
    AA 5071 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 23m · 67% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 47mBNA 05:01 to HOU 09:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.