tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:39 MIA → 19:04 DFW
    AA 2823 · American · 3h 25m · 61% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:48 DFW → 22:21 MEM
    AA 3262 · American · 1h 33m · 44% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 42mMIA 16:39 to MEM 22:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.