tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Pensacola via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:39 MIA → 19:04 DFW
    AA 2823 · American · 3h 25m · 61% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:22 DFW → 22:22 PNS
    AA 5510 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 50% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 43mMIA 16:39 to PNS 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.