tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Grand Rapids via Washington: arrives on time 44%

  1. 09:21 CLT → 10:50 DCA
    AA 2825 · American · 1h 29m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:40 DCA → 13:33 GRR
    AA 5200 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 55m · 64% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 14mCLT 09:21 to GRR 13:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.