tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Charlotte via Miami: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:54 TPA → 15:03 MIA
    AA 2831 · American · 1h 10m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:01 MIA → 18:22 CLT
    AA 985 · American · 2h 21m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 28mTPA 13:54 to CLT 18:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.