tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Antonio via Charlotte: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:28 TPA → 17:26 CLT
    AA 2832 · American · 1h 58m · 65% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:34 CLT → 20:40 SAT
    AA 1258 · American · 3h 06m · 72% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 12mTPA 15:28 to SAT 20:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.