tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 15:28 TPA → 17:26 CLT
    AA 2832 · American · 1h 58m · 65% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 CLT → 22:50 BUF
    AA 703 · American · 1h 46m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 23mTPA 15:28 to BUF 22:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.