tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → White Plains via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:54 TPA → 15:51 CLT
    AA 2836 · American · 1h 57m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:18 CLT → 20:29 HPN
    AA 5016 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 59% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 35mTPA 13:54 to HPN 20:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.