tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Atlanta via Charlotte: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:54 TPA → 15:51 CLT
    AA 2836 · American · 1h 57m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:46 CLT → 18:14 ATL
    AA 5040 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 28m · 46% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip4h 20mTPA 13:54 to ATL 18:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.