tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → White Plains via Washington: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:32 TPA → 15:58 DCA
    AA 2837 · American · 2h 26m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 DCA → 18:28 HPN
    AA 5236 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 28m · 54% on time, 7.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (7.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 56mTPA 13:32 to HPN 18:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.