Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Tampa → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%
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16:29 TPA → 19:14 PHLAA 2838 · American · 2h 45m · 55% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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3h 06m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:20 PHL → 23:53 BUFAA 5911 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 4.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 24mTPA 16:29 to BUF 23:53, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.