tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Hartford via Washington: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 DCA → 18:49 BDL
    AA 5136 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 29m · 70% on time, 20.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (20.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 15mCLT 14:34 to BDL 18:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.